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☆ The S&P 500 just hit an all-time high – but many other US stocks are still in a bear market
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewBlue-chip US stocks are trading at record levels – but small caps are still feeling the pain. That means the widely-followed gauge is technically still in a bear market, with high interest rates hammering lower-market-cap stocks even as AI powers the "Magnificent Seven" Big Tech titans to massive gains. "40% of Russell 2000 companies lose money, so these are companies that rely on credit to stay afloat." But the Russell 2000 is still in a bear market," he added. Economic bellwetherThe Russell 2000 isn't just a gauge of smaller-cap stock prices – it's also an economic bellwether.

Persons: —, Russell, they've, Ronald Temple, Lazard, Charles, Henry Monchau, That's, isn't, it's, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Steve Hanke, David Rosenberg, Hanke, Rosenberg, it'd Organizations: Service, Business, Big Tech titans, Federal Reserve, Facebook, Big Tech, Microsoft, Nvidia, Syz, LinkedIn, JPMorgan Locations: Swiss

☆ European markets open lower amid Middle East turmoil
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

The next 10 years will be unlike the last two decades for investors, according to investment advisors and wealth managers. Charles-Henry Monchau, chief investment officer at Swiss private bank Syz, said investors risk making long-term decisions with a "cognitive bias" and urges those investing $1 million over the next decade not to extrapolate too much from recent history. Jamie Cox, financial planner at Harris Financial Group, believes international stocks will outperform U.S. stocks in the coming decade as rising rates and inflation change market dynamics. Both share with CNBC Pro their thoughts on how investors with $1 million should invest over the next decade. Subscribers can read more here.

Persons: Charles, Henry Monchau, Jamie Cox, — Ganesh Rao Organizations: Harris Financial Group, CNBC Locations: Swiss

☆ How to invest $1 million for the next decade, according to private bankers and wealth advisors
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The next 10 years will be unlike the last two decades for investors, according to investment advisors and wealth managers. Those conditions could create more volatility and lower returns for assets that have done well over the past decade, according to Monchau. ELTIFs allow individual investors to invest alongside institutions in assets like infrastructure, private equity and private credit. "The ability to generate income is going to be far and away the better place for the next decade for investment," he said. For younger investors more than 10 years from retirement, Cox recommends a 100% equity portfolio, maximising returns with low-cost index ETFs.

Persons: Charles, Henry Monchau, Monchau, There's, Goldman Sachs, Franklin Templeton, Jamie Cox, Cox, it's, maximising Organizations: CNBC Pro, Swiss, BlackRock, Harris Financial Group, Unilever, Nestle, Broadcom Locations: Swiss, Geneva, Richmond , Virginia

FILE PHOTO:Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 28, 2023. Even as longer-dated Treasury yields eased from 16-year highs on Wednesday, investors remain concerned that the elevated levels may continue to pressure equities. The Labor Department's report showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose moderately last week, while layoffs declined in September, pointing to still-resilient labor market conditions. Following a mixed jobs reports earlier this week, focus will be on the more comprehensive September non-farm payrolls data on Friday. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 1.50-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and a 1.22-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Charles, Henry Monchau, Neel Kashkari, Richmond's Thomas Barkin, Mary Daly, Michael Barr, Kevin McCarthy, Steve Scalise, Jim Jordan, Joe Biden, VinFast, Lamb, advancers, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Companies, Dow, Nasdaq, U.S, Treasury, Syz Group, Healthcare, Labor, Dow Jones, Traders, Federal, Democratic, Rivian, EV, Dell Technologies, Lamb Weston Holdings, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Minneapolis, Bengaluru

☆ Wishful thinking on a soft landing may be tested, Bank Syz chief investment officer says
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWishful thinking on a soft landing may be tested, Bank Syz chief investment officer saysCharles-Henry Monchau, CIO at Bank Syz, discusses the outlook for markets heading into the last months of the year.

Persons: Charles, Henry Monchau Organizations: Bank Syz

☆ Competition for yields is moving flows from stock market to bonds, CIO says
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCompetition for yields is moving flows from stock market to bonds, CIO saysCharles-Henry Monchau, CIO of Bank Syz, discusses the outlook for the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy and what it means for stocks and bonds.

Persons: Charles, Henry Monchau, Bank Syz Organizations: Bank, U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: U.S .

☆ US loss of AAA badge a reminder of 'regime shift' for government debt
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-14 | by ( Yoruk Bahceli | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

"I think it really brings home that shift being a regime shift rather than a cyclical one," Katimbo-Mugwanya said. S&P said the assumption that governments would prioritise servicing debt over spending promises had rarely been tested at such high debt levels. For now, despite the steepest increases in borrowing costs in decades, investors still see little risk in holding governments' longer-term debt. POLICY WATCHGreater focus on longer-term risks should bring scrutiny of government policies. Still, with higher debt an economic reality, few governments are left with the coveted AAA rating.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Fitch, David Katimbo, Mugwanya, Bill Ackman, Moritz Kraemer, Fichan, Kraemer, Kshitij Sinha, Martin Lenz, LBBW's Kraemer, Yoruk Bahceli, Davide Barbuscia, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, AAA, Financial, Fitch, EdenTree Investment Management, P Global, LBBW, European Union, European Commission, European Central Bank, Syz, New York Fed, Life Asset, Union Investment, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, United States, Japan

LONDON/SYDNEY, July 31 (Reuters) - Commercial real estate investors and lenders are slowly confronting an ugly question - if people never again shop in malls or work in offices the way they did before the pandemic, how safe are the fortunes they piled into bricks and mortar? WALL OF DEBTGlobal banks hold about half of the $6 trillion outstanding commercial real estate debt, Moody's Investors Service said in June, with the largest share maturing in 2023-2026. U.S. banks revealed spiralling losses from property in their first half figures and warned of more to come. Borrowers in the UK real estate holding & development category were 4% more likely to default. But the whale could be commercial real estate in the U.S.".

Persons: Richard Murphy, Jeffrey Sherman, Charles, Henry Monchau, Bank Syz, Jones Lang LaSalle, Savills, JLL, Dhara Ranasinghe, Huw Jones, Clare Jim, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: Employers, UK's Sheffield University, Reuters, Investors, Moody's Investors Service, Fed, Federal, Bank, Suisse, Washington D.C, HSBC, Capital Economics, Thomson Locations: SYDNEY, London, Los Angeles and New York, U.S, New York, Beijing, San Francisco, Tokyo, Washington, Shanghai, North America, Hong Kong

The latest drubbing in the world's biggest bond markets, which last year suffered a record rout, does not yet point to any dysfunction in the markets themselves, investors said. But in echoes of the volatile conditions seen during March's banking crisis, trading in euro zone benchmark German government bond futures were briefly interrupted on Thursday when bond yields spiked. U.S. and British 10-year yields were also set to end the week more than 20 bps higher , . ING said earlier on Friday that this week's data was strong enough to push yields higher even if jobs numbers interrupt the moves. "It won't be as bad as that, but higher rates and higher yields could lead to negative returns and pressure returns on equity markets."

Persons: Mike Riddell, Jan von Gerich, Mark Dowding, Gael Fichan, Fichan, BlueBay's Dowding, Yoruk Bahceli, Samuel Indyk, Harry Robertson, Hugh Lawson Organizations: U.S, Federal, Allianz Global Investors, Fed, of, European Central Bank, BlueBay Asset Management, Syz, ING, Global, Thomson Locations: Europe, United States, Australia, British, Germany, Britain, U.S, of England

Investors now expect China markets to stage a recovery in the second half of 2023. "(China) markets have baked in a lot of the doom and gloom in the economy given the declines since January's peak," said macroeconomist Aidan Yao. If it is the case, spreads will start to tighten across the board," said Monchau, adding that China is under-represented in portfolios. Franklin Templeton expects the recovery in Chinese markets to happen in stages, with opportunities in the industrial equipment and banking sectors. "China (is) at the nadir of its business and profits cycle, but also offering what we consider compelling valuations."

Persons: Aidan Yao, Yao, Goldman Sachs, Charles, Henry Monchau, Mark Haefele, Franklin Templeton, Anisha, Divya Chowdhury, Hugh Lawson Organizations: Investors, Reuters Global Markets, Syz, UBS, Thomson Locations: COVID, U.S, Japan, Germany, China, Asia, Bengaluru

☆ Commercial real estate is now one of the U.S. economy's weakest links, Syz says
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCommercial real estate is now one of the U.S. economy's weakest links, Syz saysCharles-Henry Monchau, chief investment officer at Syz Group, discusses the banking crisis and what it means for interest rates and inflation.

☆ 'Shotgun wedding': What the UBS rescue of Credit Suisse means for global markets
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-20 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Axel Lehmann, chairman of Credit Suisse Group AG, left, and Colm Kelleher, chairman of UBS Group AG, during a news conference in Bern, Switzerland, on Sunday, March 19, 2023. "The accelerating loss of confidence and the escalation over the last few days have made it clear that Credit Suisse can no longer exist in its current form," Lehmann said. In equal parts "shotgun wedding" and arranged marriage, UBS agreed to buy stricken domestic rival Credit Suisse for 3 billion Swiss francs ($3.25 billion) on Sunday. The government will offer a loss guarantee of up to 9 billion Swiss francs, with UBS assuming the first 5 billion of potential losses. Shares of both UBS and Credit Suisse plunged on Monday morning, however.

☆ Dow Industrials Rise as Oil Prices Jump
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-04 | by ( Anna Hirtenstein | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose Monday as investors weighed a surge in oil prices after Saudi-led crude producers announced a surprise production cut over the weekend, saying they would reduce output by over a million barrels per day from May. “This comes at a time when the fight on inflation is not over. If inflation from energy prices starts to rebound again, that won’t be a good scenario for central banks,” said Luc Filip, head of investments at SYZ Private Banking.

☆ There is more volatility ahead for risk assets, investment officer says
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere is more volatility ahead for risk assets, investment officer saysBank Syz's Chief Investment Officer Charles-Henry Monchau looks ahead to the U.S. CPI data release and its likely impact on equity markets.

Reuters GraphicsOn a monthly basis, data showed that seven out of the 10 major central banks lifted rates in December. This compares to the monthly peak of 550 bps in September, though not all central banks meet on a monthly basis. "Most emerging market central banks are close to having completed their rate hike cycle," said Charles-Henry Moncheau, chief investment office at Syz Group. Central banks in Korea, South Africa, Thailand, Malaysia and Israel did not hold rate setting meetings in December. Emerging markets interest ratesReporting by Karin Strohecker and Vincent Flasseur in London, editing by Tomasz JanowskiOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ CIO says stock valuations are now more attractive — but still not attractive enough
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCIO says stock valuations are now more attractive — but still not attractive enoughCharles-Henry Monchau, chief investment officer of Bank Syz, discusses quarterly earnings expectations and market fundamentals over the coming months.

☆ 'Unloved, undervalued' UK stocks back in focus on Rishi Sunak stability hopes
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-25 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Britain's new Prime Minister Rishi Sunak walks past Larry the cat outside Downing Street, in London, Britain, October 25, 2022. "The fact that we have Rishi Sunak as prime minister is definitely calming on markets. We believe that it is under owned, it's unloved, undervalued, and there is some upside from here." Sunak in his inaugural speech outside Downing Street on Tuesday stressed the importance of "economic stability and confidence" while warning of "difficult decisions to come." Central to the potential stability narrative, as far as U.K. markets are concerned, is the assumption that the central bank will now be less aggressive in raising interest rates.

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